You Motta Know Better

Two years ago Xavier watched a nine point lead whittle away in the final two minutes, only to have Ron Lewis nail a 28-footer at the buzzer to force overtime. Two years later, Xavier Coach Sean Miller still laments the decision NOT to foul before the 3-point attempt could be launched. The Buckeyes went onto win in OT, making it all the way to the National Championship Game before Oden, Conley and company lost to the Forida Gators.

Last night, a few hours to the north, the show was on the other foot. Up three with seconds to play, Siena canned a three pointer to force overtime. When Butler's shot bounced wide two buzzers later, the Siena Saints had won the tourney's most thrilling game, sending the Buckeyes and their stunned faithful home to an early exit.

Suffice it to say, everyone in the state of Ohio has learned the lesson by now; up three with less than five seconds to play, FOUL.


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Round One Conference Report Cards

With the tourney's opening round in the books, lets see how the conferences squared up.

Big East: B+

Perhaps a tough grade for a conference that opened 6-1, but considering all seven were favorites, five of them prohibitive ones, the standards to grading get a little stricter. Connecticut was insanely dominant, and Syracuse and Louisville won easily as expected. Pitt was extremely underwhelming in their flirtation with #1-seed infamy letting East Tennessee State hang around until the final two minutes, and Villanova allowed #14 seed American to hang around way longer than comfortable for Jay Wright and the Wildcat fans.

That said, Marquette's win over Utah State was a good one. The only blemish was West Virginia's semi-surprising loss to Dayton. The Big East's true measure will be if their FIVE favorites can all hold serve this weekend and push on to the Sweet Sixteen.

Big Twelve: A+
Oklahoma and Missouri handled their business easily, as expected. Kansas was pushed, but never in real danger of losing to a game North Dakota State squad. Those results were expected. The real beauty of the opening weekend for much maligned conference was in the wins of Texas, Oklahoma State and Texas A&M respectively.

Texas neat a similarly ranked Big-10 Minnesota squad, Oklahoma State tackled the SEC East champs, Tennessee, and Texas A&M handled BYU with ease, making the Big 12 a PERFECT 6-0.

Three of their six remaining teams face uphill battles in the second round; Texas draws Duke, A&M gets UConn and Oklahoma State gets Pitt. If ANY of those three win, consider it a coup for the Big 12.

Menawhile, Missouri, Kansas and Oklahoma will all be favored in the contests. If the Big 12 emerges 3-3 in ANY combination this weekend, for a 9-3 opening weekend, this tourney can be considered a success.

SEC: C-

LSU beat Butler in their 8-9 matchup, Tennessee lost in the last few seconds in theirs. The Mississippi Bulldogs surprising post season run was over as quickly as it started, getting blasted by Washington. Barring a stunning LSU upset of North Carolina, the NCAA tournament comes to a close for the SEC tomorrow afternoon.

On the bright side, both Kentucky and Florida are still alive in the NIT...

Pac 10: A
5-1, with only Cal losing (to Maryland) constituted a huge, validating weekend for the Pac-10 Conference. Washington won big over Mississippi St, UCLA held off everyone's upset darling VCU, and Arizona State vanquished the other upset pick de juor, Temple. The real gems were the final two to tip, USC and Arizona who both beat better-seeded foes with relative ease.

From here, things get interesting for the conference. None of them will be favorites this weekend, but none are squaring off against a Goliath either. UCLA gets a beatable Villanova squad (albeit in Phily), Washington plays a pick-em with Purdue, Arizona State gets Syracuse, USC looks to continue their hot streak against Michigan State and Arizona gets the winner of Wake Forest and Cleveland State. None gimmes; none unwinnable either. For now, the Pac-10 is a solid "A" with an optimistic view for the tourney to come.

Big Ten, ACC: Incomplete - waiting on OSU and Wake to gone final, both have HUGE impact on conference's grade.

A-10: B
The Temple game probably wasn't what the conference was hoping for, as they went down to Arizona State without as much struggle as some assumed Christmas and Co. could cause. However, Dayton's solid, comfortable win over the Big East's West Virginia and Xavier's easy cruise tonight left the A-10 a respectable 2-1. For a conference that usually doesn't see a third bid, two wins in the opening round are something to cheer about.

Xavier gets the Florida St/Wisconsin winner, while Dayton will try to cool off another major conference giant, Kansas.

Mountain West: F
For a conference that has been making a lot of fuss about getting lumped in with the big boys, this tourney was not a good statement on their behalf. Some argued that San Diego St, and possibly even New Mexico and UNLV merited some consideration for at large bids. After the stink bombs Utah and BYU put up this week, it is a pretty tough arguement to sustain.

Mid-Majors: B+
See Mountain West, you get respect! We left you out of the mid-major minutae just to give you a stand alone "F." Now that's respect baby.

Old favorite Butler bowed out early in a rare first round exit. Utah State showed they were good enough to be in, but not much better that that; close losses don't count when you clamor for at-large bids. And lastly, Davidson's replacement almost toppled UConn...56 more points and we could have had another 6 OT classic...

If you'd like to include Memphis and Gonzaga, you would have two mid-major wins, lump in the A-10 and you have 4. Those four wins are hardly mid-major programs though (possible exception of Dayton), they just play in non-big 6 leagues. Other than that, the big boys have held serve to this point. (As evidenced by the combined 17-2 record of the Pac 10, Big 12, and BEast).

However, in the interest of fairness more than a few of the little guys did show well. American, North Dakota State and East Tennessee State gave us 35+ minutes of excitement and Morehead State gave U of L a decent half tune-up (plus they probably sold a lot of T-Shirts to college kids from other schools... everyone love morehead...).

But just when things looked bleak, Siena provided drama times two, winning a dramatic doub;e-overtime game over the "home team" Ohio State Buckeyes. And finally, the Cleveland State Vikings came to Cinderella's rescue in the nights final game. They dominated Wake Forest from the opening tip, withstood a few challenges in the second half, but in the end cruised to a double digit win over the Deacs. Proving once again why the NCAA Tourney is the most exciting event in American sports. Cinderella alwways wears a different gown, but never misses the ball.



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Anatomy of a First Round Upset

The fact that their were no significant upsets yesterday means one thing; someone is going down today. Granted, scientifically, statistically, empirically none of yesterday's results have a single thing to do with today's; but don't you just feel it coming today? Someone big is going down.

American pushed Villanova to the brink for 31 minutes, same for CS Northridge but in the end Memphis was far too superior. So who has the chops to go a full 40 today??

Historically over the past 15-20 years the big upset victims had a few things in common.

1. Teams from a major conference that exceeded expectations. Iowa State in 2001 was a surprising #2 seed before being dethroned by Hampton. Ole Miss was not a preseason Top Ten team the year Brice Drew and Valpo initiated them into the lores of NCAA highlights. When Northwestern State shocked Iowa, Iowa had completed a nice regular season, but was certainly not expected to be at that lofty seed before the season started. So who fits that bill today? How about Kansas, Missouri and Wake Forest?

Before the season started, none were ranked in the Top 20. Missouri was considered a long shot to make the NCAA's, Wake was young and thought to be a year away and Kansas had lost all five starters off their national championship team. To have projected any as a Top 4 seed would have been laughable.

2. The team that springs the upset is fundamentally sound and loaded with shooters, with one particularly streaky and deadly from long range. Remember Harold "The Show" Arceneaux? You can bet North Carolina remembers the Weber State shooting star from 1999. How about Bucknell Kansas fans? Precision cutting, solid shooting and calm fundamentals, aligned on a night when the other team makes a few mistakes.... next thing you know....

A few teams that fit that mold? Try Cornell and North Dakota State.

Getting nervous yet Mizzou and Jayhawks?

Look, neither Cornell or ND St are better than their opponents today. None of the #13, #14, or #15 seeds who sprung an upset were. But they only have to be better for one day.

So now it is time to put my money where my mouth is; where is the upset coming from? I think Mizzou is to overwhelmingly athletic and balanced and too quick defensivly to be as "upset prone" as some of the year's previous victims. I think the Tigers roll. I think Wake has the toughest draw of any #4 and will get a real tough ball game from Cleveland State...

So, my "winner" is, with ghosts of Bisons past.... the Kansas Jayhawks. The Jayhawks have shown in previous losses an overdependance on Sherron Collins, who tends to force shots when things are going poorly. Case in point, last month's Texas Tech debacle where he went like 3 of 23 from the floor. They are an extremely young team, facing a team with FIVE redshirt seniors, a fan base who travels well, and one of the most proficient 3-point attacks in the country. It is all the ingredients for some March Madness.

Maniac's Call - North Dakota State in a SHOCKER!


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NCAA Tourney 3-somes

A perverted college roommate once told me all good things come in threes...

More appropriately, the three point shot has had tremendous impact on upsets and Cinderella's in the NCAA tournament. Nearly every good upset is sprung by the hands of some scrappy long-range bombers.

In a timely homage to the 3, here are some 3's to watch this tourney:

Three most likely for an early upset:
1. Memphis
2. Wake Forest
3. Kansas

Three Surprise Final Four Teams:
1. Gonzaga
2. Purdue
3. Syracuse

Three Unappreciated GOOD Teams:
1. Duke
2. Oklahoma
3. Clemson

Three Long Shots Who Can Make Waves:
1. Cornell
2. Cleveland State
3. Mississippi State

Three Teams With the Two Best Players:
1. Arizona
2. Pitt
3. Oklahoma

Three Teams With the Three Best Players:
1. North Carolina
2. Louisville
3. Duke

Teams With the One Best Player (and that's about it...)
1. Arizona St.
2. Maryland
3. Florida State

Three With Tremendous Balance:
1. Xavier
2. Purdue
3. Louisville

Three Most Talented Teams - Top to Bottom:
1. Gonzaga
2. North Carolina
3. UConn/Louisville

Three Coaches I'd Want Drawing Up the Final Shot:

1. Rick Pitino
2. Mike Kroojawooski
3. Roy Williams

Three Coaches Most Likely to Cry After Being Eliminated:

1. Roy Williams
2. Coach K
3.

Three Coaches Who Will NOT:

1. Tom Izzo
2. Jim Calhoun
3. John Calipari

One Coach Who Will Cry Period:

1. Jim Boeheim

Three Players Whose Names You Will Know in Two Weeks:

1. Terrance Williams
2. Matt Boldin
3. Gerald Henderson

Three Most Athletic Teams:

1. Memphis
2. Louisville
3. Tennessee
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A Trip Out West

To the West...

Best First Round Game: Cal v. Maryland - Most of the public in the big pools have sided with Maryland as they are probably more familiar to the palette. Grevies Vasquez is an NBA caliber guard whose emotional and fiery play can lift the Terps over great opponents like UNC. This is also a team that lost by 43 to Duke just a few months ago.

Cal plays a frenetic pace and is one of the better teams to not have appeared on ESPN this year. Therefore very few people know much about them. Enjoy the game, it should be a good one, and don't be surprised if you know a lot more about the Pac-10 on Monday than you do today.

Best Player: Jerel McNeal has been stellar all season long for the Marquette Eagles, yet all the recent focus has been on the loss of backcourt mate Dominic James. In order for Marquette to survive and advance, McNeal is going to have to carry a larger portion of the scoring load. He is more than capable.

Most important player(s): The Memphis Tigers will once again go as far as their star freshman point guard can carry them. Last year, Derrick Rose took them 2 minutes from a championship. In order for that same result (or better) Tyreke Evans is going to have do likewise.

Purdue is a different team when Robbie Hummel is healthy, and he finally appears to be 100% just in time for the tourney. However, the true key to the Boilermakers success will be the play of unheralded sophomore big man JuJuan Johnson. In a bracket that could see matchups with Washington's John Brockman and UConn's Hasheem Thabeet, Johnson will need to play big to keep the Boilers advancing.

Worst Seeding: No complaints out West, everything is just about right. Utah State might be a slot high at #11, Washington might be one high at #4, I'd personally have flipped they and Purdue, but after round one it really matters little. All in all, a really fairly seeded bracket.

Toughest Break: Purdue's reward for winning the Big Ten tourney was a trip to Portland, Oregon. This sets up a de facto road game in Rd 2 if Washington advances.

Possible 2nd Round Gem: Washington and Purdue will be a very interesting game, but the hidden gem is if Maryland sneaks past Cal. The Terps provide a difficult matchup, as they shoot the ball well enough from the outside to score enough points, Vasquez, when playing well (think "Devendorf" level of eraticism) can control the tempo and tenor of the game, and Maryland is not going tobe dramatically "out-athleted" by the Tigers like many other teams in the draw. It will be a very competitive game.

Easiest to Root For: Marquette was cruising towards a 3 or 4 seed until the untimely season-ending injury to four-year starter Dominic James. It is pretty easy to get on the Marquette bandwagon

Maniac's Sweet Sixteen Picks:

Purdue upsetting UConn in the Sweet 16, Memphis over Marquette

Purdue utilizing their poise and patience to withstand the Memphis onslaught and advance as a the surprising Final Four entrant

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Pacer's Picks

Each year my dog, Pacer makes his fearless selections. Unfortunatly CBS Sportsline has locked him out, so I shall post his objective picks here...

Good luck to all our players, and to my fearless pooch.

EAST:
RD TWO: Pitt, Ok St, Florida St, Portland St, UCLA, American, Minnesota, Duke
SWEET: Pitt, FSU, UCLA, Duke
ELITE: Florida State, Duke
FINAL FOUR: Florida State

SOUTH:
RD TWO: UNC, Butler, WKY, Gonzaga, Temple, Syracuse, Michigan, Oklahoma
SWEET: Butler, Gonzaga, Syracuse, Oklahoma
ELITE: Gonzaga, Oklahoma
FINAL FOUR: Oklahoma

MIDWEST:
RD TWO: Lville, Ohio St, Arizona, Wake, Dayton, Kansas, BC, Michigan St
SWEET: LVille, Wake, Dayton, Michigan St
ELITE: Wake, Michigan St
FINAL FOUR: Michigan St.

WEST:
RD TWO: UConn, BYU, Purdue, Washington, Utah St, Missouri, Maryland, CS Northridge
SWEET: UConn, Washington, Utah St, Maryland
ELITE: UConn, Maryland
FINAL FOUR: UConn
And Pacer's Final Four looks like this:
Oklahoma over Florida State, and UConn over Michigan St.
In the Final..... Oklahoma and Blake Griffin take down the UConn Huskies to win the title.

You're going down bitches!
And I know a thing or two about bitches...

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Previewing the East Region

Best First Round Game: UCLA v VCU. VCU is the upset pick de juor with Eric Maynor and the Rams history of befalling traditional giants (See: Duke, also in an 6-11 game). However the viewing public seems to have forgot the track record of the Bruins. UCLA has been to three straight Final Fours and despite some heavy losses from last year, still has Darrin Collison at point and Josh Shipp on the wing. More than half the people in the massive ESPN pool have VCU pulling the upset, but I tend to think Vegas is a little smarter. They have the Bruins as a 7.5 point favorite - one of the largest spreads for any game not involving a #1-#4 seed.

Forget the "upset" potential, just sit down to watch two of the countries best little point guards go head to head.

Best Player: If you have a soft spot in your heart for memories of Grant Hill gliding gracefully for four years at Duke, wait until you get a load of Gerald Henderson. He struggled through the first month of the season, but since January he has been the best player in the nation. His silky shooting touch and defensive tenacity get overshadowed by jaw-dropping athleticism. His emergence as a true superstar gives Duke a legitimate chance to win it all.

Most important player(s): Let's get to the point. More specifically, the point guards. It is a commonly cited axom that guard play wins in the NCAA's. There are four teams that will go precisely as far as their guards take them. For Villanova, Scottie Reynolds makes the engine go. Likewise for Texas's AJ Abrahams. Duke's revolving door at the point finally settled on freshman Elliot Williams. How he and senior Greg Paulus handle their split duties will determine much of the Dukies fate. The same for another freshman, Xavier PG Terrell Holloway. Holloway has big "little" shoes to fill as he tried to replicate the Elite Eight run spearheaded last year by Drew Lavender.

Worst Seeding: Hands down, easily the WORST seeding job of the entire tourney was Tennessee at a 9. The Maniac had them at a #5 winning the SEC Tourney, and a #6 after their loss. This is a team that finished 10-6 in an albiet down SEC, but still a far superior conference to the ones played in by Butler, Utah State, and Siena. They killed themselves out of conference with a spectacular schedule, and finished the season with good momentum. Their reward?? A ludicrous #9 seed and a date with Oklahoma State. Win that, and Pitt looms in round two.

Toughest Break: Florida State did more than enough to earn a Top 4 seed, but by falling to a #5 they a toss-up first round game rather than a should win #4v#13. They match up with Wisconsin, a tam famous for frustratingly slow, controlled tempo basketball. The Seminoles are far better team, but this is a terrible matchup for them.

Possible 2nd Round Gem: Should Florida State survive the Badgers, Xavier v. Florida State will be an extremely high level 2nd round game. The one I am salivating over is Tennessee getting a shot at Pitt. It is a good matchup for the Vols, as they enjoy the sloppy and physical scrambling game. They are every bit as athletic as Pitt, if not more so, and can likely put pressure on their guards and cause some problems.

Easiest to Root For: If Gonzaga has become "America's Team" then the Dukies have become College Basketball's Yankees. For some reason the clean-cut Blue Devils inspire more ire than any other school. That said, it would be easy to root Binghamton today. Tony Cornheiser's alma matter makes their first ever tourney appearance with a chance to slay the hated Goliath. It ain't happening, but easy to root for I suppose. Don't forget, Duke needed divine intervention to hold off #15 Belmont in last year's opener...

Maniac's Sweet Sixteen Picks:

Xavier over Tennessee in the Sweet Sixteen (Bruce Pearl's Vols stunning Pitt in Rd 2)
Duke over UCLA (UCLA getting over Nova)

Duke beating X for the second time in 6 years to advance to the Final Four


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BaChalk Obama

Not sure if you heard, but our President filled out a NCAA bracket. I caught brief glimpses of it on 36 news channels and the headlines of every website on the Internet. So, yeah, I guess the guy is a hoops fan.

Are we sure this dude isn't a closet Republican? I haven't seen this much chalk since I got to be the eraser cleaner in fourth grade (seriously, wasn't that the shittiest job ever? Bang out all the erasers behind the school to get the chalk dust out... you all did that right? That wasn't just me, was it? I DID go to an elementary school where you could get paddled, so maybe I am on a different plane here...)

I digress. Anyhow, for all the fuss, there wasn't too too much to fuss about. I did like his big "upset" pick of #3 Syracuse over #2 Oklahoma in the Sweet 16. Well slap my ass and call me an AIG kickback! Ballsy!

For more of the First Bracket, click here

Sure you wanna pick the Heels? They couldn't even check you!


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A Trip Through the South

Previewing the South Region

Best First Round Game: LSU v. Butler. Talk about starting off the tourney right! Tomorrow at 12:20, the first tip of the tourney is an absolute gem. Both teams would be trendy darling picks to make a deeper run...were UNC not waiting in the wings. I'll tell you this though, IF (BIG IF) Ty Lawson can't go, don't be surprised to see the winner of this game still hanging around the Heels going into the final tv timeout.

Best Player: Sometimes I think we just get a little sick of people in this society. Call it "attention overkill." We love the hot new band, but 95% of them are punchlines two years later. We bemoan all the one-and-dones in college basketball, but tend to undervalue the really good seniors. Such is the case with Tyler Hansbrough. The soon-to-be leading scorer in the history of the ACC, the only 4-time First Team All-ACC player EVER and one of the toughest, gutty, competitors ever to lace em up is still seeking his first national championship. You can bet he'll put out one heck of an effort to get it.

Most important player(s): One could make the "best player" case for either as well, but fans are in for a first round treat when Dionte Christmas and James Harden go toe to toe for 40 minutes. Either one is capable of dropping 35 and carrying his squad to a second round matchup with Syracuse.

Indefatigable Player: Johnny Flynn, Syracuse. No real need to explain why the Big East tourney MOP wins this award.

Worst Seeding: No significant gripes here, other than the usual Butler ram-rodding. Clemson would not have been overvalued at a #6 (as opposed to their #7) and Temple seems a little high at #11. An #11 seed means they were IN, regardless of winning the conference tournament, which I don't think would have been true. A #12 behind Wisconsin and Arizona seems like a more logical slot for the Owls.

Toughest Break: Butler grabs not only a too-low #9, they then get LSU and UNC in order to advance into the second weekend. They won't, but it is hardly their fault this year.

Possible 2nd Round Gem: LSU/Butler against UNC is going to be a much much better game than most people (and Vegas) will expect. The one I am really hoping for is Temple v. Syracuse. Two teams known for difficult to prepare for defensive schemes meet up. Is the 'Cuse the gutty squad we saw in Madson Square Garden or did they peak a little too early?


Easiest to Root For: Gonzaga has become "America's Team" over the past decade, and it is fairly easy to see why. Even though they shed the "Cinderella" label a long time ago, it is still one of the more unlikely college basketball powerhouses of the modern era. Can this be the year they take the final step up to "elite" program by reaching the school's first Final Four? The Maniac thinks so; they had a few early stumbles but have played a brutal schedule and boast the deepest, most talented roster in the nation with six players who will play professional basketball.

Maniac's Sweet Sixteen Picks:
Gonzaga over North Carolina in an upset, and Oklahoma over Syracuse
Gonzaga beating the Sooners to head to their first ever Final Four.

Ever since Gonzaga got pummeled by Memphis, things have been completely different. The reason? Taking Jeremy Pargo off the ball and letting the brilliant Matt Boldin play point. The Zags have the most talented front line in the country and have a host of height, quickness and scoring. The achillies heel was their inability to consistently distribute the basketball and take quality shots. With that problem eliminated, the Zags are the most dangerous #4 seed in the tourney, and my pick to cut down the South nets.

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Breaking Down the Midwest Region

Previewing the Midwest Region

Best First Round Game: West Virginia v. Dayton. The Flyers downed Big East foe Marquette earlier this year, utilizing their quickness and solid guard play. They are going to need every bit of it in order to tackle Bob Huggins' Mountaineers. West Virginia freshman Devin Ebanks has just begun to scratch the surface of his talent over the past three weeks and guard Alex Ruoff can shoot his team deep into the tourney.

Best Player: An easy argument could be made for Louisville's Terrance Williams, Wake Forest's Jeff Teauge and Kansas's duo of Sherron Collins and Cole Alderich, however the Maniac is going to go with an unlikely pair; Arizona's Jordan Hill and Chase Buddinger. For whatever reason (and there are a lot to choose from) things never quite clicked in Tuscon this year. If for some reason it finally does this weekend, it will be in large part because of these two future first-rounders. Either way, this combo makes Arizona one of the more talented #12's in recent memory.

Most important player: Edgar Sosa - Louisville. When the Cards struggled early, it was their guard play that plagued them. Sosa's role is far diminished from the role he played in the 2007 tourney (where he was sensational as a freshman, by the way), but it is still an important one. If he and the guards can control tempo and the basketball, Pitino's Cards look like the favorite to get to Detroit.

A couple runner-ups include Michigan State's Kalin Lucas, WVU's Alex Ruoff and USC's DeMarr Derozan.

Worst Seeding: Siena at a #9. I know, everyone loves the Saints (that's Siena's nickname by the way) and the tourney toughness from their tough schedule. Let's recap Siena's Top 50 wins. Ok, we're done. There aren't any. But clearly the strength of schedule propelled them to a #9 seed. Meanwhile Tennessee is also a #9, despite winning the SEC East, a down, but clearly superior league to Siena's and playing the nation's 2nd toughest schedule. Oh, and the Vols even WON a few of them. Siena should be an #11 at best, more likely a #12.

Toughest Break: Siena, once again. I think Ohio State beats them anywhere, anytime, anyway, but playing the game in Dayton where tens of thousands of Buckeye fans can make the hour drive is a pretty unwarranted advantage for OSU.

Possible 2nd Round Gem: How about Arizona versus Wake? That game would likely feature more future first-rounders than any other game in the tourney. Jordan Hill, Chase Buddinger, Jeff Teague, Al-Farouq Aminu and James Johnson,; they aren't all household names, but their talent is unquestionably immense.

Easiest to Root For: North Dakota State makes their first ever NCAA tourney appearance in their first season of eligibility. The Bison went 16-2 in the Summit Conference, and played USC tough earlier this season in Los Angeles. Don't be surprised if the Bison hang around long enough to rally some excitement in the crowd...and some tough flashbacks of Bison for Jayhawk fans...

Maniac's Sweet Sixteen Picks:
Louisville over Arizona, and Michigan State over West Virginia
Louisville beating the Spartans to head to Detroit


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Who Wants Morehead!

Um. Everybody?

But seriously, there is no time like the present to get a jump on congratulating our 2009 National Champion, the Morehead State Eagles. By using some simple extrapolations it is a quite plausible scenario. Follow along please:

Morehead State defeated UCF 71-65.
The Knights bested New Mexico 72-71.
New Mexico beat UNLV 73-69.
UNLV defeated Louisville 56-55

In four easy steps, it is plain to see, Morehead State is the team to beat in this year's tourney.


Four Steps? Impressive.
Oh, and "this guy" to the title question.

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5 Reasons Why You Will Lose Your Pool

Let's face it, you are destined to be a loser. Now, I'm not trying to sound like your Mom, guidance counselor or imaginary girlfriend. I'm simply keeping it real. You're a loser baby.

You are going to bomb your office pool and lose to the hot chick four cubicles down, who barely knows a basketball is round. That is, of course, unless the person reading this is the hot chick four cubicles down, in which case, congratulations. And please post a gratuitous victory pic.

Take solace my friends, the Maniac will bomb right along with you, and it isn't anyone's fault. Even Jay Bilas, despite his tremendous length, has no clue who is going to win this damn thing. In a one-and-done format, you just never know.

In the meantime, fill out your brackets, pick a few bandwagons to jump on or off of, and enjoy the greatest three weeks in American sports.

Reason #1
Momentum means nothing. Duke famously made losing in your conference tournament a plus when making a run towards their national titles. Kentucky lost their conference tourney in '96 and still won the big tourney. If that is the case, Pitt, UConn, Oklahoma and North Carolina can breathe a big sigh of relief. Conversely this could be bad news for the 2009 Blue Devils as well as Purdue, Louisville and Missouri Tigers.

Reason #2

Then again, momentum never hurts. In both 2006 and 2007 the Gators got some practice cutting down the nets in Atlanta as SEC champs before cutting them down for real 4 weeks later. Oh yeah, and the Cat's lost the SEC in '96, but WON it in '98. Both seasons brought the crown to Lexington.

Reason #3

Upsets really aren't "upsets" very often. The 5 v 12 "upset" is one of the biggest misnomers in sports. A 12 seed is a team just outside of the Top 25, usually from a major conference who earned an at-large bid. A 5-seed is a team ranked around #20 in the polls. Then put them on a neutral floor and...

For example, put Arizona and their two first round NBA draft picks and program pedigre on a nuetral floor against Utah and tell me an UofA win would be an upset? Very few #14's win, only 4 #15's and NO #16's. The true upsets begin in round two when an 11 or 12 lives to see week two. Anything from a 12 down really is fair game. Most first round games are 3-5 point Vegas lines. If you can pick ALL those correctly, MOVE. Jobs suck. Bet on hoops.

Reason #4

Shots don't always fall. There is always going to be good days and bad days shooting the rock. Most upsets are sprung by lesser talented teams gunning away from behind the arc. A few shots fall, the crowd gets behind the lower seed, the favorite gets a little tighter...start pulling the string on the jump shots, forcing shots earlier in the shot clock.... next thing you know, UPSET city.

The beauty of momentum is you never know how and when it is going to be seized by. George Mason loses to UConn 19 out of 20 times in 2006.

But it only takes one. And no one (apologies to Gotlieb and Bilas) can predict WHEN that is going to happen.

Reason #5
Did you watch these neutral floor - one and done - conference tournaments unfold?!?

Let me give you a few examples of games that might have raised an eyebrow last week, but would be considered full fledged "upsets" this week.
  • West Virginia over Pitt is equivalent to a #4-5 getting a #1 in the Sweet 16
  • Syracuse over UConn - ditto
  • Oklahoma State over Oklahoma is equivalent to a 7 over 2, or even a 8 over 1 second round "stunner"
  • Florida State over UNC is a classic #5 over #1 Sweet Sixteen "shocker"
  • Temple over Xavier had all the makings of a #13 over #4 first rounder, or at least the typical #5-#12 tilt.

It's going to be a bumpy ride folk, just follow my Mom's advice (and group password), picktheprettyuniforms

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